About the situation at the front
Now four sections of the front are clear, different in dynamics. There is a front in the Kherson region, that is, on the right bank of the Dnieper – from Andreevka and north towards Vysokopole, there are constant counteroffensives of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. After the start of the work of the Ukrainian aviation, the result of a fire defeat appeared, the counteroffensive was steadily going along the entire front line of the Ukrainian troops. There is only Ukrainian aviation there, and Russian air defense has been knocked out. Also, Ukrainian air defense was pulled there. This part of the front can be said to be moving steadily.
The second front is Zaporozhye, between Zaporozhye and Donetsk: Vasilyevka, Orekhovka, Vuhledar and Volnovakha. Here the front line is stable, artillery preparation is underway, no one is really going anywhere or retreating.
The third section of the front is from Donetsk to Seversk through Bakhmut. There, along the entire length of the front line, offensive actions of Russian troops are going on, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine are on the defensive. When there are no fortifications, the troops move. In those places where there is a breakthrough, a group advances and destroys it.
The fourth front is the Lugansk front, which does not move anywhere and goes from Liman to Valuyki, along Oskol. This front line is standing, the Russians are drawing a second line here. Oskol itself is a water barrier, and we can say that this is the first front line. Especially the Oskol reservoir, from one and a half to four kilometers wide, which holds the Ukrainian troops, while the Russians dig in from Liman to Valuyki. It is about 40 kilometers southeast towards Lugansk from the reservoir. There are fights for Liman, but they are local.
About attacks on collaborators
The attempts and attacks on collaborators that have been taking place lately are not Ukraine's answer. Some of them have nothing to do with the Ukrainian army. The murder of a prosecutor in Lugansk is a local showdown. Imagine how many drug dealers and businessmen he has crushed in these eight years. They have terrible methods, this is Luhansk – someone was killed, someone was hanged, someone was cut off something in order to return a million dollars. These are prosecutorial cases with internal processing, so these are not partisans, not the Armed Forces of Ukraine and not the Main Intelligence Directorate.
About filtration measures
Filtration measures in the Kharkiv region are a message for all other occupied territories. Like, if you don’t want to live in Ukraine, go to Russia. This is a good and painless message, but it should have been done in 2014. If everyone who wanted to live in Russia would just pack their things and leave Donetsk there, then there would be no war. But for some reason they wanted Russia in Donetsk.
I think that it is still necessary to show how filtration measures are carried out in the liberated territory. This algorithm is not yet ready, but it is already being worked out. It all starts with the fact that Ukrainian services enter the liberated territory, and the return back to the jurisdiction of Ukraine takes place at certain stages. Nobody knows them yet, but they are already in development and will be distributed to all other territories.
On the "retreat" of Russian troops
Russian troops are not being withdrawn from the right bank of the Dnieper to the left, there is no escape either. There are moments when the company commander looted a bunch of washing machines, and on boats throws them to the left bank. You can’t carry stolen goods across a bridge or a ferry crossing, because there are Kadyrovites everywhere who monitor this. All the stolen goods they take away and appropriate for themselves. There may be such movements, but they are single and unpromising for the escape of the right-bank grouping to the left side.
About hitting dams
Russian troops broke a dam in Krivoy Rog in order to raise water in Ingulets. They think that high water will wash away our crossings in the Davydov Brod area, where we have already crossed the Ingulets and set up new crossings. From a military point of view, this is the correct approach, just execution through the ass.
As for the threats of the pro-Kremlin channels about blowing up a dam in the Kiev Sea: it is impossible to blow it up, it is necessary to drive a train of TNT there. This dam was built to withstand a nuclear attack. Now the entire launch of the Dnieper has been specially lowered, that is, the entire sea has been lowered, as well as the Kakhovka reservoir. The discharge of water occurred before the start of the war, about a month before. Even if it is destroyed, there will be no problem.
What to expect from Russia
There is no need to wait for abrupt events on the part of Russia, it can no longer do anything. Now the world community will put pressure on it, and UN representatives will visit the mass graves in Izyum. Putin will sit still, and the Ukrainian troops will conduct a couple more operations in the Izyum region. There are hundreds of graves, torture and executions. It will be something like Babi Yar. And this is only one found, and there are many of them.
Russia can no longer do anything but hit the infrastructure. It has no mechanisms – troops and equipment are stuck everywhere. And therefore, the only way out is to hit the infrastructure, the thermal power plant, the dam.